Who will win the Copeland by-election?
No governing party has gained a seat in a by-election since 1982, but the Conservatives have a good chance of breaking that streak in Copeland. In a measure both of the closeness and the confidence around the Conservative camp, Theresa May wil make a campaign stop there. Sitting Prime Ministers often stay away from by-elections, not least to minimise any idea that the contest is about them.
Although the seat has been Labour-held (under various names) since 1935, the wider context could scarcely be more favourable for a Conservative pick-up.Read Full Article